陈溪 王栋
通過总结“一带一路”建设的实践经验和理论探索,构建中观层面的整合性理论和政策框架,推动共建“一带一路”向高质量纵深发展。
2018年8月27日,在推进“一带一路”建设工作5周年座谈会上,习近平总书记明确指出:推动共建“一带一路”向高质量发展转变,这是下一阶段推进共建‘一带一路”工作的基本要求。
要实现习近平总书记提出的要求,需要提出整合性的理论和政策框架来协调战略与战术目标,推动共建“一带一路”走深走实。选择优先突破区域,以产业发展、民生治理为途径,以区域融合为目的,构建可持续的金融投资策略,发展三方或多方合作机制,形成整合效应。
首先,研究区域比较优势,聚焦优先突破区域。深入分析“一带一路”沿线国家的区域比较优势产业,及支撑规模经济的本地劳动力市场和供应链网络的发展潜力,选择重点区域优先突破。
其次,以产业发展为关键性途径、民生治理为支撑性途径布局。规划和建立比较优势产业时,需前瞻考虑向规模经济和创新经济升级的路径,降低未来区域同质化竞争的风险。鼓励政府、企业和学术机构联合开展基础科学研究、应用工程研究和职业教育,发展多层次的本地劳动力市场。鼓励双边或多边的制造业和服务业企业推进技术、生产和资本整合,构建区域供应链。同时,积极建设“一带一路”沿线国家的传统民生治理体系,建设更好公共服务体验的数字民生和数字治理体系。
再次,区域融合是整合性策略的目的。单一城市布局上升到区域融合格局,将有利于促进市场规模的扩大和城市协调发展。此外,多方、多渠道的金融投资模式亦值得重视。
最后,通过推动三方或多方合作机制下的资本和产业联合体,将有助于提升“一带一路”倡议有关项目的透明性和可持续性。通过总结“一带一路”建设的实践经验和理论探索,构建中观层面的整合性理论和政策框架,聚合产业发展、民生治理、区域融合、金融投资等要素,推动共建“一带一路”向高质量纵深发展。
BRI can be a boon for emerging economies
By Hu Biliang
The Belt and Road Initiative offers a great opportunity to emerging market economies to enhance their economic strength.
First, by participating in the Belt and Road Initiative, the ycan improve their domestic infrastructure, which in tur can create more jobs, reduce transportation costs, promote trade growth and build a solid foundation for rapid economic growth.
Second, by engaging in International production capacity cooperation, one of the most important goals of the Belt andRoad Initiative, the emerging market economies can accelerate their own industrialization process. As China is in the later stage of industrialization and has the world's largest manufacturing industry with the strongest production capacity, by cooperating with China under the framework of the initiative, the emerging market economies can use Chinese capital, technologies and market to develop their own industries, and adjust their economic structure, improve their industrial capacity and enhance their financial risk resistance capacity.
Third, the emerging market economies can betteruse China's huge market to promote domestic economic development through the Belt and Road Initiative.
And fourth, by participating in the Belt and Road Initiative, the emerging market economies can strengthen regional financial cooperation. In fact, the Asian financial crisis has made many countries realize the significance of building a regional financial cooperation framework.
Moreover, China has become the biggest investor in many emerging countries, and it should use this factor to further deepen cooperation with those countries under the framework of the Belt and Road Initiative, which will help improve their financial system while stabilizing both the regional and global financial markets.
The author is the director of Emerging Markets Institute, Beiing Normal University. The article is an excerpt from his speech at a recent seminar on "Fed rate hike and the impact on the emerging markets" at the Center for BRICS and Global Governance.