近日,AMR咨詢公司发布的第十二版全球展览报告预测,受新冠疫情为主的因素影响,2020年全球展览行业总收入预计同比减少199亿美元,降幅达到69%。2020年,全球所有会展市场都受到疫情冲击,但程度哥各不相同。受损最小的很可能是中国,全年展会收入相比2019年下降50%,而受损最严重的当属越南(下降94%)和新加坡(93%)。
报告指出,由于疫情多变,各展览市场复苏速度也各不相同,因此报告未对2021年展览市场态势进行预测。预计到2022年,中国作为复苏较快的市场,展览总面积将恢复至2019年的86%;英国、美国和墨西哥预计恢复至80%;德国预计恢复至79%;全球展览总面积将恢复至78%。
Global exhibitions market to rebound to 78% of its 2019 size by 2022
The primary driver of revenue loss in 2020 is reduced volume sales. In many major markets, this has led to more than a 90% reduction in NSM sold in Q2 and Q3, states the 12th edition of Globex – the global exhibition organising market: assessment and outlook to 2022 – released by AMR International.
Whilst all exhibition markets will suffer a major hit in 2020 as a result of COVID-19, the decline will vary between markets. The least negatively impacted market is likely to be China, with 2020 exhibitions revenues 50% down compared with 2019, whereas the most negatively impacted are forecast to be Vietnam and Singapore (94% and 93% down from 2019 respectively). China is expected to rebound the most, reaching 86% of its relative 2019 size by 2022; UK, US and Mexican exhibition markets are projected to rebound to c.80% of their 2019 size by 2022 and Germany will rebound to 79% of its 2019 size by 2022.