系统工程学报 第33卷 (2018年) 总目次

面向突发事件应急决策的情景建模方法....................................................张 磊 王延章 陈雪龙 王 宁(1)

基础产品免费策略下新产品进入最优定价研究..........................................李幸涛 南国芳 李敏强 寇纪淞(13)

不确定需求下的采购合同逆向拍卖模型...................................................................吴江华 李先国(23)

价格和需求不确定下存货融资质押率优化研究............................................周 咏 胡艳梅 杨华龙 王滋承(34)

双指数跳跃扩散条件下上市公司违约风险分析............................................................宫晓莉 庄新田(44)

石油和汇率间风险溢出效应分析——基于MV-CAViaR模型.......................................叶五一 张 浩 缪柏其(55)

跳跃风险的外溢效应与投资价值.........................................................................刘庆富 张金清(65)

供应链易变质新产品定价与补货联合决策模型....................................................张金隆 吴 翔 徐浩轩(79)

考虑线下零售商服务成本差异的BOPS渠道整合..................................................刘咏梅 周 笛 陈晓红(90)

灰色市场环境下供应链协调的补偿策略研究.....................................................洪定军 马永开 倪得兵(103)

考虑退货运费险情况下的供应链运作决策研究...........................................................杨 雷 常 娜(116)

单跑道混合起降飞机排序问题的优化算法研究...................................................马卫民 杨文娟 徐 博(125)

考虑生产率调整的多产品EPQ与设备维修整合模型.............................................刘学娟 赵 斐 马晓洋(136)

基于演化博弈的制造企业研发团队知识转移网络演化............................................徐建中 朱晓亚 贯 君(145)

基于关联维数和Kolmogorov熵的协同物流网络有序度控制模型..................................徐小峰 常玮洪 孙燕芳(157)

网络参与者见面概率的迭代估计方法....................................................李永立 樊宁远 林亿民 吴 冲(167)

管理者过度自信与企业创新战略选择....................................................................于长宏 原毅军(175)

知识溢出,地理邻近与区域异质性的空间关系............................................................杨贵彬 李婉红(182)

基于节能的地铁时刻表随机机会约束规划模型...................................................杨 荟 周建栋 李 想(197)

关键词拍卖中广告位数的事前分析与优化研究...........................................常 瑞 赵 勇 胡二琴 饶从军(212)

竞争环境下提前期-价格响应模式均衡策略研究........................................................李怡娜 魏 超(225)

制造商品牌产品感知质量提升策略选择模型..............................................赵 菊 孙翠英 周永务 闵 杰(242)

多目标两阶段组合DEA模型及应用研究...................................................邓忆瑞 李宁 杨艳丽 杨印生(258)

供应商选择决策的扭曲现象:供应中断分析.............................................................于 辉 王 念 (271)

基于护士排班问题的加班策略比较研究..........................................................许 丹 刘洪伟 齐二石(279)

基于区域划分的地铁网络脆弱性评价方法...............................................................沈吟东 宫 剑(289)

供应链风险管理的物理–事理–人理方法研究.............................................刘家国 孔玉丹 周 欢 李 俊(298)

资本积累的空间溢出效应研究...................................................................吴继贵 叶阿忠 张月玲(308)

基于非光滑方程组的智能电网实时定价..................................................................王宏杰 高 岩(320)

主动再制造设计下制造/再制造博弈模型研究............................................................夏西强 朱庆华(328)

双边密封竞标下的动态P2P网络借贷拍卖机制..................................................周正龙 马本江 胡凤英(341)

基于平衡稳定性的货币危机预警模型及实证研究........................................................王振齐 龙 文(355)

考虑后悔厌恶的私募股权基金投资组合优化模型........................................................胡支军 贺 阳(365)

不同结算方式下农产品供应链保鲜投资决策.............................................................陈 军 曹群辉(378)

考虑渠道竞争和消费者行为的BOPS定价与服务合作............................................范 辰 刘咏梅 陈晓红(387)

区域创新系统耦合度测度模型构建与实证研究...........................................苏 屹 安晓丽 孙 莹 果 颖(398)

基于改进突变级数法的农产品冷链物流风险评估模型....................................张 浩 邱 斌 唐孟娇 何明珂(412)

依据在线评论的商品排序方法...................................................................毕建武 刘 洋 樊治平(422)

买方“跳单”行为下房产中介差异化定价机制.............................................................王 晨 龚 朴(433)

多属性逆向同步增价拍卖模型及最优投标策略...................................................冉茂盛 黄 俊 蒋卫艳(442)

基于有限理性的需求模型与承诺交付时间研究...........................................................李海南 邱晗光(453)

不确定性、最优资本结构与投资期权价值........................................................曹启龙 周 晶 盛昭瀚(461)

分位数向量自回归分布滞后模型及脉冲响应分析...........................................许启发 刘曦 蒋翠侠 虞克明(472)

经济增速下行阶段我国股市波动敏感因素分析...........................................................叶 莉 李伯龙(488)

延保服务的供应链收益共享合同选择....................................................艾兴政 张 越 李晓静 汪敢甫(500)

基于学习效应的企业知识流程外包策略研究.............................................................欧阳智 苏 秦(511)

基于零售商延保服务的竞争供应链销售回扣合同.........................................马建华 艾兴政 赵海霞 李晓静(520)

替代产品价格和服务竞争的在线渠道决策与协调...............................................王 滔 颜 波 李鸿媛(536)

考虑再制造的技术许可交易组合选择研究...............................................程晋石 李帮义 龚本刚 刘 志(551)

基于违约状态判别的小企业债信评级研究...............................................................孟 斌 迟国泰(565)

考虑媒体效应的微博网络热点事件舆论演化模型................................................刘 泉 荣莉莉 颜克胜(577)

公共危机双层网络伪信息扩散与免疫阈值研究...........................................朱晓霞 刘萌萌 沈羽翯 陆君安(589)

基于复数编码的多策略人工蜂群算法....................................................................单 娴 杜学东(597)

有序分位加权集结算子及理想激励点的模拟求解................................................李伟伟 易平涛 郭亚军(606)

竞争环境下轴–辐式海运网络设计与定价决策....................................................赵宇哲 周晶淼 迟国泰(615)

基于政府视角的最优碳减排政策研究....................................................................张 盼 熊中楷(627)

双边市场中用户前瞻性与平台定价策略选择.....................................................................张 凯(637)

电商平台监管与商家售假演化博弈..............................................................李 杰 张 睿 徐 勇(649)

均值函数对随机波动率短期利率模型的影响分析................................................江 良 林鸿熙 宋丽平(662)

竞争零售商的供应链延保服务两部定价合同选择.........................................郑 晨 艾兴政 李晓静 汪敢甫(674)

基于在线评论词向量表征的产品属性提取...............................................李良强 袁 华 叶 开 唐小我(687)

3E系统视角下能源结构合理度评价研究.................................................曹 静 贾 娜 李 根 范德成(698)

基于双重反馈机制的语言型动态群体评价方法...................................................董庆兴 朱克毓 梁昌勇(710)

基于链路动态变化的产业网络预测模型研究.....................................................王 斌 王文平 费为银(721)

正负反馈交替论模型及应用.............................................................................林 屹 严洪森(732)

非参数计量经济学中的伪回归诊断..............................................................马 薇 葛 通 肖 凯(745)

发电商古诺博弈下差价合约的市场力抑制效应...................................................................蒲勇健(754)

基于势函数的企业联盟收益分配策略....................................................................孙红霞 张 强(763)

基于事前非对称信息的带保证金的保险契约模型................................................马本江 杜彦龙 周雄伟(771)

应对碳价格波动的新能源汽车联合生产策略.............................................................程永伟 穆 东(780)

含信用等级迁移的可违约和可赎回公司债券的结构化定价.......................................梁 进 包俊利 曾楚焜(793)

中国股票市场的“塔西陀陷阱”效应研究.......................................................寇明婷 杨海珍 杨晓光(801)

基于混频数据抽样的已实现波动率长记忆模型...................................................王天一 刘 浩 黄 卓(812)

生鲜农产品供应链RFID技术投资决策及协调...................................................杨 亚 范体军 张 磊(823)

制造商和零售商同时开辟在线渠道下渠道竞争与定价决策...............................................赵 静 朱 昆(834)

需求约束下集装箱码头装卸设施配置逆优化模型................................................鲁 渤 王辉坡 汪寿阳(845)

两水平修理策略的k/n(G)表决系统可靠性分析................................................吴文青 唐应辉 张元元(854)

CONTENTS LIST OF JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS ENGINEERING Vol.33(2018)

Making and Game Theory Scenario modeling method for unconventional emergency decision-making....................................................................Zhang Lei,Wang Yanzhang,Chen Xuelong,Wang Ning(1)

Optimal pricing strategy for new entrants with free base products......................................................................Li Xingtao,Nan Guofang,Li Minqiang,Kou Jisong(13)

Reverse auction models for procurement contract under uncertain demand...............................................................................................Wu Jianghua,Li Xianguo(23)

Optimization on loan-to-value ratios of inventory financing under uncertain price and demand...................................................................Zhou Yong,Hu Yanmei,Yang Hualong,Wang Zicheng(34)

Default risk for listed companies in double exponential jump diffusion process............................................................................................Gong Xiaoli,Zhuang Xintian(44)

Risk spillover effect between oil and exchange rate:Based on MV-CAViaR model........................................................................................Ye Wuyi,Zhang Hao,Miao Baiqi(55)

The spillovers of jump risk and investment value..............................................................................................Liu Qingfu,Zhang Jinqing(65)

A joint pricing and replenishment decision model for new products with deterioration..................................................................................Zhang Jinlong,Wu Xiang,Xu Haoxuan(79)

Channel integration of BOPS considering off-line sales effort differences..................................................................................Liu Yongmei,Zhou Di,Chen Xiaohong(90)

Compensation strategy for supply chain coordination in gray markets.................................................................................Hong Dingjun,Ma Yongkai,Ni Debing(103)

Study of operation decision in supply chains considering freight back insurance...................................................................................................Yang Lei,Chang Na(116)

Optimization algorithm for sequencing of single-runway mixed arrival-departure aircrafts.....................................................................................Ma Weimin,Yang Wenjuan,Xu Bo(125)

Integrated EPQ and maintenance model for a multi-product production system with varying production rate...................................................................................Liu Xuejuan,Zhao Fei,Ma Xiaoyang(136)

Evolution of knowledge transfer network of RD team in manufacturing enterprises based on evolutionary game theory...................................................................................Xu Jianzhong,Zhu Xiaoya,Guan Jun(145)

Order degree control model for collaborative logistics network based on correlation dimension and Kolmogorov entropy.............................................................................Xu Xiaofeng,Chang Weihong,Sun Yanfang(157)

Iterative method of estimating the meeting probabilities of network individuals........................................................................Li Yongli,Fan Ningyuan,Lin Yimin,Wu Chong(167)

Managerial overconfidence and enterprise innovation strategy choice.............................................................................................Yu Changhong,Yuan Yijun(175)

Spatial relationship among knowledge spillovers,geographical proximity and regional heterogeneity..............................................................................................Yang Guibin,Li Wanhong(182)

Energy-efficient stochastic chance-constrained programming model for train timetable optimization....................................................................................Yang Hui,Zhou Jiandong,Li Xiang(197)

Decision Making and Game Theory Ex ante analysis and optimization research on the number of advertising slots in keyword auctions.........................................................................Chang Rui,Zhao Yong,Hu Erqin,Rao Congjun(212)

Research on lead time-price response model equilibrium strategy under competitive environment.....................................................................................................Li Yina,Wei Chao(225)

Manufacturer’s option decision on brand perceived-quality promotion strategy...........................................................................Zhao Ju,Sun Cuiying,Zhou Yongwu,Min Jie(242)

Research on two-stage combined DEA models with MOLP framework and application........................................................................Deng Yirui,Li Ning,Yang Yanli,Yang Yinsheng(258)

Distortion phenomenons of supplier selection decisions:An analysis on supply disruption....................................................................................................Yu Hui,Wang Nian(271)

Comparative study of nurse scheduling problem with different overtime strategies........................................................................................Xu Dan,Liu Hongwei,Qi Ershi(279)

Vulnerability assessment of urban metro network based on region partitioning..............................................................................................Shen Yindong,Gong Jian(289)

Methodology of supply chain risk management based on WSR theory............................................................................Liu Jiaguo,Kong Yudan,Zhou Huan,Li Jun(298)

Research on spatial spillover effects of capital accumulation...................................................................................Wu Jigui,Ye Azhong,Zhang Yueling(308)

Research on the real-time pricing of smart grid based on nonsmooth equations...............................................................................................Wang Hongjie,Gao Yan(320)

Study on game model of manufacture/remanufacture based on designing for remanufacturing.............................................................................................Xia Xiqiang,Zhu Qinghua(328)

Dynamic auction mechanism of online peer-to-peer lending market considering bilateral sealed bidding............................................................................Zhou Zhenglong,Ma Benjiang,Hu Fengying(341)

Currency crisis warning model and its empirical research based on equilibrium stability theory...............................................................................................Wang Zhenqi,Long Wen(355)

Portfolio optimization with private equity funds considering regret aversion...................................................................................................Hu Zhijun,He Yang(365)

Decision of fresh-keeping investment in agricultural supply chains under different settlement mode.................................................................................................Chen Jun,Cao Qunhui(378)

Pricing and service cooperation in BOPS implementation:Considering channel competition and consumer behavior................................................................................Fan Chen,Liu Yongmei,Chen Xiaohong(387)

Construction of coupling degree measurement model of regional innovation system and empirical research.................................................................................Su Yi,An Xiaoli,Sun Ying,Guo Ying(398)

Risk assessment model of agricultural products cold chain logistics based on the improved catastrophe progression method........................................................................Zhang Hao,Qiu Bin,Tang Mengjiao,He Mingke(412)

Method for ranking products through online reviews......................................................................................Bi Jianwu,Liu Yang,Fan Zhiping(422)

Differential pricing for real estate brokers with jump-dealing buyers..................................................................................................Wang Chen,Gong Pu(433)

Optimal bidding strategies in multi-attribute reverse simultaneous ascending auctions with synergies...............................................................................Ran Maosheng,Huang Jun,Jiang Weiyan(442)

Bounded-rationality-based demand and promised delivery time..............................................................................................Li Hainan,Qiu Hanguang(453)

Uncertainty,optimal capital structure,and the option value of investment.................................................................................Cao Qilong,Zhou Jing,Sheng Zhaohan(461)

Quantile vector autoregressive distributed lag model and impulse response analysis..............................................................................Xu Qifa,Liu Xi,Jiang Cuixia,Yu Keming(472)

Major drivers of China’s stock market volatility during slowing economy......................................................................................................Ye Li,Li Bolong(488)

Revenue sharing contract of supply chain under extended warranties services....................................................................Ai Xingzheng,Zhang Yue,Li Xiaojing,Wang Ganfu(500)

Learning effect on strategy of knowledge process outsourcing...................................................................................................Ouyang Zhi,Su Qin(511)

Sales-rebate contract for competing supply chains with retailers’extended warranty services....................................................................Ma Jianhua,Ai Xingzheng,Zhao Haixia,Li Xiaojing(520)

Decision and coordination of online channels with competition of substitute product’s price and service.......................................................................................Wang Tao,Yan Bo,Li Hongyuan(536)

Trading portfolios selection of technology licensing with remanufacturing........................................................................Cheng Jinshi,Li Bangyi,Gong Bengang,Liu Zhi(551)

Evaluation Theory and Method Debt rating of small enterprise based on default identification.................................................................................................Meng Bin,Chi Guotai(565)

Public opinion evolution model of micro-blog network hot event with mass media impact.....................................................................................Liu Quan,Rong Lili,Yan Kesheng(577)

Study of false information diffusion and immunization thresholds on two-layered networks in public crisis.....................................................................Zhu Xiaoxia,Liu Mengmeng,Shen Yuhe,Lu Junan(589)

Multi-strategy artificial bee colony algorithm based on complex coding...............................................................................................Shan Xian,Du Xuedong(597)

Ordered quantile weighted aggregation operator and the simulative solution of ideal incentive points......................................................................................Li Weiwei,Yi Pingtao,Guo Yajun(606)

Hub-and-spoke shipping network design and pricing decision in a competitive environment................................................................................Zhao Yuzhe,Zhou Jingmiao,Chi Guotai(615)

Research on optimal regulation of carbon emissions reduction from government’s perspective............................................................................................Zhang Pan,Xiong Zhongkai(627)

Forward-looking agents and pricing strategy in two-sided market.............................................................................................................Zhang Kai(637)

Evolutionary game between E-commerce platform supervision and merchants selling fakes............................................................................................Li Jie,Zhang Rui,Xu Yong(649)

Impact analysis of mean reverting function to short term rate model with stochastic volatilities..................................................................................Jiang Liang,Lin Hongxi,Song Liping(662)

Supply chain extended warranties service two part tariffs contract option of competing retailers...................................................................Zheng Chen,Ai Xingzheng,Li Xiaojing,Wang Ganfu(674)

Extraction product features from online reviews based on word-vector-representation.........................................................................Li Liangqiang,Yuan Hua,Ye Kai,Tang Xiaowo(687)

Research on the evaluation of the sanity degree of energy structure based on the perspective of 3E system.................................................................................Cao Jing,Jia Na,Li Gen,Fan Decheng(698)

Linguistic dynamic group evaluation method based on dual feedback mechanism...........................................................................Dong Qingxing,Zhu Keyu,Liang Changyong(710)

Study of the prediction model of industrial network based on the dynamical links..................................................................................Wang Bin,Wang Wenping,Fei Weiyin(721)

Model of alternate positive negative feedbackics and its applications..................................................................................................Lin Yi,Yan Hongsen(732)

Diagnose the spurious regressions in nonparametric econometrics...........................................................................................Ma Wei,Ge Tong,Xiao Kai(745)

Market power inhibiting effects of contracts for difference under Cournot game of electricity producers...........................................................................................................Pu Yongjian(754)

Profit allocation in enterprises coalition based on potential function.............................................................................................Sun Hongxia,Zhang Qiang(763)

Study of insurance contract model with cash deposit based on ex-ante asymmetric information..............................................................................Ma Benjiang,Du Yanlong,Zhou Xiongwei(771)

Joint production strategies of new energy vehicle with carbon price disruption.............................................................................................Cheng Yongwei,Mu Dong(780)

Pricing on a defaultable and callable corporate bond with credit rating migration under the structure framework.....................................................................................Liang Jin,Bao Junli,Zeng Chukun(793)

Study of‘Tacitus-trap’effect in Chinese stock market..........................................................................Kou Mingting,Yang Haizhen,Yang Xiaoguang(801)

Model for the long memory of realized volatility based on mixed data sampling....................................................................................Wang Tianyi,Liu Hao,Huang Zhuo(812)

Investment decision-making and coordination of fresh agricultural supply chain with RFID technology.........................................................................................Yang Ya,Fan Tijun,Zhang Lei(823)

Channel competition and pricing decision with online channels opened by both a manufacturer and a retailer...................................................................................................Zhao Jing,Zhu Kun(834)

Inverse optimization model of loading and unloading facilities in container terminal under demand constraint...................................................................................Lu Bo,Wang Huipo,Wang Shouyang(845)

Reliability analysis of an k/n(G)system with bi-level repair strategy...........................................................................Wu Wenqing,Tang Yinghui,Zhang Yuanyuan(854)